Plug-ins continue to rise in France, with last month’s plug-in vehicle registrations ending at 22,926 units, split between 12,692 BEVs (or 12% share of the total car market) and 10,234 PHEVs (9% share of the car market). The former was up 33% year over year (YoY), while the latter was actually down by 8%.
As the overall market continues to fall off a cliff, at 23% yoy and a significant decline 42% compared to April 2019 (the latest normal April in the market), plugins reached 21% market share last month (12% BEV). Pure electrics again outsold PHEVs: 55% market share in plug-ins versus 45%. This is different from the final result of 2021 (53% BEVs vs. 47% PHEVs). Expect BEVs to gain ground throughout the year.
Year-to-date (YTD) registrations are now over 95,000 units, bringing the market share of plug-in vehicles to 20% (12% BEV). This is already 2 percentage points above the result that the market had in 2021 and is a nice increase of 9 percentage points compared to the result of 2020 (11%). So expect the market to remain solidly above 20% by the end of the year and maybe even reach 30% by then.
For some powertrains to go up, others have to go down, and that’s what happens to mainstream petrol and diesel sales, with the former (gasoline) representing 38% of total market sales last month, down 34%. , and the latter (diesel) fell even harder, taking just 16% of sales last month, dropping a steep 48% from a year ago. And this in what was once a diesel-loving market! At this rate, BEVs will outpace diesels this year and diesel sales will be dead in just two years.
Interestingly, sales of plugless hybrids have increased by 19% and now represent 21% of the market, which means that if we add up all the electric powertrains (BV+PHEV+HEV), we see that 42% of all passenger cars were sold in France last month, had a shape of electrification, which is already more than the share of the main fossil fuel drive (gasoline – 38%). This is what disruption looks like….
After two months of Tesla Model 3 dominance, last month’s bestseller was actually the Fiat 500e, which had a whopping 1,737 registrations. That was his second record in a row, beating the Dacia Spring. Yes, two foreign EVs were in the top two positions, which is particularly impressive in a market where the Renault Zoe has reigned for several years and in a market known for its preference for domestic models. In the first four months of the year we had three different leaders (Dacia Spring, Tesla Model 3 and Fiat 500e) and none of them were French!
The remaining podium spot went to the Peugeot e-208, which again outperformed an underperforming Renault Zoe. The Zoe finished the month in 4th place, with 1,052 registrations, just 100 units ahead of the Renault Twingo EV, another veteran of the Renault stable.
Elsewhere mention is made of the record score of SAIC’s MG eHS PHEV. The Chinese crossover closed the month with a record 696 registrations, finishing the month as 2nd in the PHEV category, behind only the local hero Peugeot 3008 PHEV. China is rising….
In the second half of the table we have the Kia EV6 that continues to shine, in #15 with 403 units. Meanwhile, the production speed of the Citroën e-C4 EV is now the hatchback-disguised-as-a-crossover to appear in the table, in this case in #14, with 448 deliveries.
Among the top 20, the highlight is another Chinese model on the rise, with the postmodern Lynk & Co 01 PHEV has its best month yet in France, with 225 registrations. Expect the compact crossover to hit the top 20 in the coming months.
Looking at the 2022 ranking, the number 1 is still held by the Tesla Model 3, but expect the Dacia Spring to take the lead in May due to the expected delivery drought of the Covid-19 lockdown in Shanghai.
That being said …
With the little Dacia also coming from China, don’t expect a particularly good month from the Sino-Romanian in May either. It should be enough to top the Model 3, but both the #3 Peugeot e-208 EV and the upcoming #4 Fiat 500e are likely to get closer. In theory we would have a race with four models for #1 in June. Fingers crossed!
(And Oh holy blue, only one of them is French!)
The top places have two position changes. The Fiat 500e moved up to 4th place, while the climber of the month was the Peugeot e-2008 EV, which rose 6 places to #9. A result of the last jump was that: four Peugeot models made it to the top 10†
In the second half of the table there isn’t much to talk about, with the only position changes being the Kia EV6 and Citroen e-C4 EV climbing to #15 and #17 respectively. But just below the top 20 we have the MG eHS PHEV in #21, just 13 units behind the #20 Hyundai Tucson PHEV. Expect the Chinese crossover to arrive at the table soon.
Looking at the brand rankings, the top two brands remained stable, with both Peugeot (15.9%) and Renault (11.2%) retaining their gold and silver medals. The last place on the podium remained with Tesla (9%).
Off the podium, Dacia (6.8%) is stable in 4th place, while Mercedes (6.3%) is safely in 5th place, one percentage point ahead of #6 Kia and #7 Fiat.
In terms of OEMs, Stellantis is the main force in this market, with an impressive 30.8% share. The Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance is comfortably in #2, with 19.3%. Hyundai-Kia is in 3rd place with 10%.
Off the podium, we have Tesla in 4th place (9%), followed by Volkswagen Group (hi, do you remember me?) in 5th place with 7.3%. Yes, Volkswagen Group has been surprising missing in action so far in this market, to the point that BMW Group (6th, with 7.2%) is breathing him in the neck….
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