Final Feinberg Prediction Before Nominations – The Hollywood Reporter

KEEP IN MIND THAT: This prediction, compiled by The Hollywood Reporter‘s awards columnist Scott Feinbergreflects his best effort to predict the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences, not his personal preferences. He arrives at this ranking by drawing on voter and strategist consultations, marketing and campaign analysis, results of pre-Emmy awards, and the history of the Emmys themselves. There will be regular updates to reflect new developments.

*BEST DRAMA SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
You better call Saul (AMC)
Ozark (Netflix)
severance pay
(Apple)
squid game
(Netflix)
Weird stuff
(Netflix)
succession
(HBO)
This is us
(NBC)
Yellowstone (Decisive)

Varied
Euphoria
(HBO)

Potential surprise
yellow jackets (showtime)

Should have been a contender
winning time (HBO)

*BEST COMEDY SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Abbott Elementary
(ABC)
Atlanta
(FX)
barry
(HBO)
hacking (HBO Maximum)
The wonderful Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Only murders in the building (Hoera)
Ted Lasso (Apple)
What we do in the shade (FX)

Varied
russian doll (Netflix)

Potential surprise
blackish (ABC)

Should have been a contender
Reservation Dogs (FX)

*BEST LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
dopessick
(Hoera)
the outage (Hoera)
Domestic help (Netflix)
The stairs (HBO Maximum)
The white lotus (HBO)

Varied
invent Anna (Netflix)

Potential surprise
Under the banner of heaven (FX on Hulu)

Should have been a contender
1883 (paramount+)

*BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Jason Bateman (Ozark) – podcast
Sterling K. Brown (This is us) – podcast
Brian Cox (succession) – podcast
Lee Jung-jae (squid game) – podcast
Adam Scott (severance pay
Jeremy Strong (succession) – podcast

Varied
Bob Odenkirk (You better call Saul) – podcast

Potential surprise
Kevin Costner (Yellowstone

Should have been a contender
Jamie Dornan (The tourist

*BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Juliette Lewis (yellow jackets
Laura Linney (Ozark
Melanie Lynskeyyellow jackets
Mandy Moore (This is us) – podcast
Kelly Reilly (Yellowstone
Zendaya (Euphoria) – podcast

Varied
Britt Lager (severance pay

Potential surprise
Tawny cypress (yellow jackets

Should have been a contender
Katja Herbers (Bad

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Jonathan Banks (You better call Saul
Nicholas Braun (succession
Kieran Culkin (succession
Matthew Macfadyen (succession
Alan Ruck (succession
John Turturro (severance pay) – podcast
Christopher Walken (severance pay
Oh Young-soo (squid game

Varied
Hae-soo Park (squid game) – podcast

Potential surprise
David Haven (Weird stuff

Should have been Contender
Cole Hauser (Yellowstone

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Patricia Arquette (severance pay
Millie Bobby Brown (Weird stuff
Julia Garner (Ozark) – podcast
Jung Ho-yeon (squid game) – podcast
Christina Ricci (yellow jackets
Sadie Washbasin (Weird stuff
J. Cameron Smith (succession
Sarah Snook (succession

Varied
Rhea Seehorn (You better call Saul) – podcast

Potential surprise
Winona Ryder (Weird stuff

Should have been a contender
Maude Apatow (Euphoria

*BEST Actor IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Anthony Anderson (blackish
Donald Glover (Atlanta
Bill Hader (barry
Steve Martin (Only murders in the building
Martin Short (Only murders in the building
Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso

Varied
Nicholas Hoult (The big

Potential surprise
Ricky Gervais (after life) – podcast

Should have been a contender
Sam Richardson (the afterparty

*BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Rachel Brosnahan (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) – podcast
Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary
Kaley Cuoco (The stewardess
Issa Rae (Insecure
Tracee Ellis Ross (blackish) – podcast
Jean Smart (hacking

Varied
Natasha Lyonne (russian doll

Potential surprise
Selena Gomez (Only murders in the building) – podcast

Should have been a contender
Elle Fanning (The big) – podcast

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Anthony Carrigan (barry
Carl Clemons Hopkins (hacking
Brett Goldstein (Ted Lasso
Luke Kirby (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel
Tony Shalhoub (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) – podcast
Kenan Thompson (Saturday Night Live) – podcast
Henry Winkler (barry) – podcast
Bowen Yang (Saturday Night Live

Varied
Nick Mohamed (Ted Lasso

Potential surprise
Brendan Hunt (Ted Lasso

Should have been a contender
Brian Tyree Henry (Atlanta

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Alex Borstein (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) – podcast
Hannah Einbinder (hacking
Sarah Goldberg (barry
Kate McKinnon (Saturday Night Live
Yvonne Orji (Insecure
Meg Stutter (hacking
Juno Temple (Ted Lasso
Hannah Waddingham (Ted Lasso

Varied
Cecilia Strong (Saturday Night Live

Potential surprise
Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary

Should have been a contender
Stephanie Hsu (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel

*BEST ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Colin Firth (The stairs
Andrew Garfield (Under the banner of heaven) – podcast
Michael Keaton (dopessick) – podcast
Jared Leto (WeCrashed) – podcast
Sebastian Stan (Pam and Tommy

Varied
Oscar Isaac (Scenes from a wedding) – podcast

Potential surprise
Sam Elliott (1883) – podcast

Should have been a contender
Jon Bernthal (We own this city

*BEST ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Julia Garner (invent Anna) – podcast
Lily James (Pam and Tommy) – podcast
Margaret Qualey (Domestic help) – podcast
Julia Roberts (gas lit) – podcast
Amanda Seyfried (the outage) – podcast

Varied
Jessica Chastain (Scenes from a wedding) – podcast

Potential surprise
Toni Collette (The stairs

Should have been a contender
Isabel May (1883) – podcast

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Naveen Andrews (the outage
Murray Bartlett (The white lotus
Jake Lacy (The white lotus
Tim McGraw (1883
Will Poulter (dopessick
Peter Sarsgaard (dopessick
Michael Stuhlbarg (dopessick

Varied
Steve Zahn (The white lotus

Potential surprise
Matthew Goode (The offer

Should have been a contender
Colton Ryan (The girl from Plainville

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
Connie Britton (The white lotus
Jennifer Coolidge (The white lotus
Alexandra Daddario (The white lotus
Kaitlyn Dever (dopessick) – podcast
Daisy Edgar Jones (Under the banner of heaven
Andie MacDowell (Domestic help
Natasha Rothwell (The white lotus

Varied
Faith Hill (1883

Potential surprise
Sydney Sweeney (The white lotus

Should have been a contender
Dominique Fishback (The Last Days of Ptolemy Gray

*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NON-FICTION SERIES*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
The Andy Warhol Diaries (Netflix)
The Beatles: Get Back (Disney+)
jeen-yuhs (Netflix)
The New York Times Presents: Controlling Britney Spears
(FX)
We need to talk about Cosby
(showtime)

Varied
music box (HBO) — podcast (Bill Simmons)

Potential surprise
Catch and Kill: The Podcast Tapes (HBO) — podcast (Ronan Farrow)

Should have been a contender
McCartney 3, 2, 1 (Hoera)

*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NON-FICTION SPECIAL*

Projected nominees (alphabetical)
demise (Netflix)
George Carlin’s American Dream (HBO) — podcast (Judd Apatow)
Lucy and Desi (Amazon)
The Tinder Swindler (Netflix)
We feed people (Nat Geo) — podcast (José Andrés)

Varied
Uncertain: the end (HBO)

Potential surprise
sheryl (showtime)

Should have been a contender
A man named Scott (Amazon)

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