This is why there will be no food shortages in the US

The war in Ukraine is putting enormous pressure on the global food supply.

Ukrainian grain exports last month were a quarter of what they were in February. Also as a direct result of the Russian invasion, the cost of fertilizers, with rising prices for raw materials such as ammonia, nitrogen and nitrates, has risen by 30% since the beginning of 2022.

“This is going to be another important test of the food supply system,” said Diane Charlton, assistant professor of agricultural economics at Montana State University. “We will have to look very closely at what is happening in other parts of the world and come up with ways to reduce the risks of food shortages and conflict.”

Meanwhile, food prices in the US are rising at an all-time high, while prices for commodities such as wheat and corn have reached their highest level in a decade. In addition, the US Department of Agriculture predicts that home food prices will increase by 4% by the end of 2022.

“It is particularly serious as we are just coming out of a recovery from a two-and-a-half-year pandemic that severely impacted the prices of goods and services and the price of commodities,” said Johanna Mendelson. Forman, adjunct professor at American University in the School of International Service.

However, despite the prospect of continued rising prices, experts do not expect food shortages in the United States.

“It’s important to realize that the US doesn’t import much from Ukraine,” explains Joseph Glauber, a senior research fellow at the International Food Policy Research Institute.

“We may see some shelves empty for different types of food items like we’ve had for a while as we recover from the pandemic,” said Scott Irwin, chair of agricultural marketing at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. “But I can say with some confidence that the average consumer in the United States won’t see a shortage of bread because of what’s going on in Ukraine.”

Watch the video to learn more about the impact of the war in Ukraine on food availability around the world.

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